10th International Conference on Agricultural Statistics

10th International Conference on Agricultural Statistics

TOWARDS A UNIFIED EAC FOOD BALANCE SHEET: BUILDING A REGIONAL SYSTEM FOR SMARTER FOOD SECURITY INSIGHTS

Author

VK
Valerian Kidole

Co-author

  • V
    Valerian Vitalis Kidole

Conference

10th International Conference on Agricultural Statistics

Format: CPS Abstract - ICAS 2026

Abstract

The East African Community (EAC), a bloc encompassing over 290 million people across eight Partner States (PS) faces persistent and interconnected challenges for its food and nutrition security. These challenges are exacerbated by climate variability, economic volatility, population growth, and transboundary pests and diseases. While individual PS engage in national agricultural planning and maintain various data systems to inform their food and nutrition policies, the current approach to understanding food supply and demand is fundamentally fragmented. This fragmentation severely limits the region’s capacity to proactively manage food crises, optimize agricultural trade, and allocate resources efficiently. This paper argues how EAC has engaged in developing and implementing a regional framework of a unified and harmonized EAC Food Balance Sheet (FBS) system. Such a system is envisioned as a critical public good that would transform reactive food security policies into proactive, data-driven strategies, thereby bolstering the region’s resilience and accelerating economic integration.
A FBS is a comprehensive statistical accounting framework that provides a snapshot of the pattern of a country's food supply and utilization during a specified reference period. Currently, EAC-PS produce their own FBSs, but some of them suffer from critical limitations: methodological inconsistencies, divergent definitions of key terms, varying reporting frequencies, and significant data gaps and latencies. This lack of standardization renders cross-border comparison unreliable and ineffective. Consequently, the region operates with a blurred and delayed understanding of its own food economy, unable to see the integrated whole beyond disparate national snapshots.
The absence of a unified system has tangible, negative consequences. Policymakers are often forced to make critical decisions—such as imposing export bans or authorizing large-scale imports—based on incomplete or outdated information, a practice that can amplify price volatility and create perverse incentives across borders. Humanitarian agencies struggle to target food aid effectively, while the private sector lacks the reliable data needed to make investments in storage, logistics, and processing that are essential for stabilizing food markets. This data-scarce environment fosters a reactive cycle of crisis management, where interventions are triggered by evident emergency rather than prevented by intelligent foresight.
The proposed Unified EAC FBS system is designed to break this cycle. Its primary objective is to create a single, coherent, and trusted source of information on regional food availability. The vision extends beyond mere indicators aggregation; it aims to establish an interoperable platform that harmonizes data from national statistics offices, ministries of agriculture, and customs authorities according to a common regional protocol based on international best practices. This involves standardizing methodologies for data collection, estimation, and reporting for a prioritized list of key staple commodities. The technological cornerstone of this system is a centralized, cloud-based data repository coupled with a dynamic, user-friendly dashboard namely Open Data Portal (ODP). This platform provides authorized stakeholders with interactive visualizations, maps, and analytical reports, clearly illustrating regional surpluses, deficits, and trade flows in near-real time.
The benefits of such a unified system are multifold and transformative. Firstly, it serves as a powerful early warning system, enabling modeling and prediction of regional shortfalls months in advance. This predictive capability allows for pre-emptive action, such as the strategic release of grain reserves, the planned facilitation of cross-border trade, and the timely mobilization of humanitarian resources. Secondly, it provides an evidence base for smarter trade and agricultural policies. With a clear view of regional supply and demand, the EAC can move towards data-driven policies that keep borders open for food, manage tariffs strategically, identify investment priorities for achieving regional self-sufficiency in key value chains, and report on aggregated FBS indicators and related SDG indicators.
Thirdly, the system dramatically improves resource allocation, ensuring that support reaches the most vulnerable populations and areas with precision. Fourthly, it catalyzes private sector investment by de-risking agricultural markets and providing traders, processors, and insurers with the reliable information needed to operate efficiently at a regional scale. Finally, and perhaps most profoundly, the collaborative process of building and maintaining this system itself is an act of deepening regional integration, fostering trust, transparency, and technical cooperation among partner states.
Realizing this vision requires a deliberate, phased roadmap built on a foundation of strong political will, sustainable investment, high-level buy-in, a robust multi-stakeholder governance structure, and harmonized methodologies through a regional handbook. A pilot program with a subset of countries is essential to prove the concept, and that is what this paper is showcasing. Subsequent phases will focus on scaling the platform to remaining PS.