Regional Statistics Conference 2026

Regional Statistics Conference 2026

Modeling nonstationary spatial processes with normalizing flows

Conference

Regional Statistics Conference 2026

Format: IPS Abstract - Malta 2026

Keywords: environmental, machine learning, spatial statistics

Session: IPS 1171- Statistics for Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Data in the Era of AI

Thursday 4 June 2:40 p.m. - 4:20 p.m. (Europe/Malta)

Abstract

Nonstationary spatial processes can often be represented as stationary processes on a warped spatial domain. Selecting an appropriate spatial warping function for a given application is often difficult and, as a result of this, warping methods have largely been limited to two-dimensional spatial domains. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach to modeling nonstationary, anisotropic spatial processes using neural autoregressive flows (NAFs), a class of invertible mappings capable of generating complex, high-dimensional warpings. Through simulation studies we demonstrate that a NAF-based model has greater representational capacity than other commonly used spatial process models. We apply our proposed modeling framework to a subset of the 3D Argo Floats dataset, highlighting the utility of our framework in real-world applications.