65th ISI World Statistics Congress

65th ISI World Statistics Congress

ISI Jan Tinbergen Prize for Young Statisticians

Organiser

PG
Prof. Paolo Giudici

Participants

  • PG
    Prof. Paolo Giudici
    (Chair)

  • TI
    Mr Tarikul Islam
    (Presenter/Speaker)
  • Causal Inference with Misclassified Exposure: Correcting the IPW Estimator

  • Category: International Statistical Institute

    Abstract

    The inverse probability weighting (IPW) estimator is widely used for estimating the
    average treatment effect (ATE) in causal inference. However, the IPW estimator is
    prone to bias when the exposure variable is misclassified, even if the misclassification is
    non-differential. In this paper, we propose a correction for the IPW estimator using the
    method of moments (MoM) to account for misclassified exposure. We derive the corrected
    IPW estimator, demonstrate its unbiasedness under misclassification, and evaluate
    its performance through simulation studies. Furthermore, we discuss techniques for
    estimating misclassification probabilities, including scenarios with and without validation
    data or exposure replication. We also derive ranges of these probabilities for conducting
    sensitivity analyses when no gold standard is available. Additionally, we apply the
    proposed method to real-world data from the Bangladesh Multiple Indicator Cluster
    Survey (MICS) 2019 to estimate the causal effect of the wealth index on ICT skills among
    women aged 15-49, demonstrating the robustness of our method.